Sectionals Predictions

[runninsaber]

So what are everyones predictions for this weekend for teams and individuals moving on to Rapids??

This is what I think for D1 Boys (in no particular place order)....


Homestead Sectional
Teams: Arrowhead, Wauwatosa East
Individuals: Daniel McKee (Hamilton), Patrick Campbell (Wauwatosa West), Adam Schueller (Germantown), Matthew Snell (Hamilton), Zachary Kusan (Hamilton)

Kimberly Sectional
Teams: Bay Port, Green Bay Preble
Individuals: Brady Selner (Ashwaubenon), Armando Torres (Green Bay East), Ian LaMere (Green Bay Southwest), Austin Gokey (DePere), Alex Rink (Kimberly)

Madison West Sectional
Teams: Madison West, Madison Memorial
Individuals: A.J. Kitchen (Beaver Dam), Gerrit Bruni (Baraboo), John Groat (Madison East), Andrew Gifford (Watertown), Dillon Weber (Sun Prairie)

Marquette Sectional
Teams: Marquette, Whitefish Bay
Individuals: Nikolai Grabowski (Franklin), Logan Eggert (Milwaukee King), Josh Greenberg (Nicolet), Randy Grzybowski (Nicolet), Nic Scharping (Milwaukee King)

Oregon Sectional
Teams: Madison LaFollette, Janesville Craig
Individuals: Matthew Wolf (Verona), Joe Zack (Oconomowoc), Noah Brown (Oconomowoc), Terry McMillan (Monona Grove), Dane Tyler (Janesville Parker)

Oshkosh North Sectional
Teams: Neenah, Fond du Lac
Individuals: McKena Ramos (Sheboygan South), David Fischer (Appleton East), Anthony Gnas (Slinger), Dustin O'Connell (Appleton West), Adian Welsch (Sheboygan North)

Racine Horlick Sectional
Teams: Kenosha Tremper, Kenosha Bradford
Individuals: Will Arnold (Racine Horlick), Ryan Kaestner (Racine Horlick), James Frederickson (Racine Case), Tyler Fiebelkorn (Westosha Central), Seth LaBodda (Oak Creek)

Tomah Sectional
Teams: LaCrosse Logan, Hudson
Individuals: Andrew Faris (Chippewa Falls), Trent Powell (River Falls), Ali Jandal (LaCrosse Central), Christian Phelps (Eau Claire Memorial), James Saxton (LaCrosse Central)

Wausau West Sectional
Teams: Stevens Point, D.C. Everest
Individuals: Cody Artymiuk (Antigo), Evan Walpole (Superior), Alexander Buss (Shawano), Riley Tuma (Shawano), Nate Schoone (Rhinelander)

West Allis Hale Sectional
Teams: Brookfield Central, Waukesha South
Individuals: Brad Johnson (Brookfield East), Jacob Jodat (Waukesha North), Lane Geisness (Waukesha North), Stephen Browne (Brookfield East), Matt Cyra (Mukwonago)

[Zoom019]

So what are everyones predictions for this weekend for teams and individuals moving on to Rapids??

This is what I think for D1 Boys (in no particular place order)....


Homestead Sectional
Teams: Arrowhead, Wauwatosa East
Individuals: Daniel McKee (Hamilton), Patrick Campbell (Wauwatosa West), Adam Schueller (Germantown), Matthew Snell (Hamilton), Zachary Kusan (Hamilton)

Kimberly Sectional
Teams: Bay Port, Green Bay Preble
Individuals: Brady Selner (Ashwaubenon), Armando Torres (Green Bay East), Ian LaMere (Green Bay Southwest), Austin Gokey (DePere), Alex Rink (Kimberly)

Madison West Sectional
Teams: Madison West, Madison Memorial
Individuals: A.J. Kitchen (Beaver Dam), Gerrit Bruni (Baraboo), John Groat (Madison East), Andrew Gifford (Watertown), Dillon Weber (Sun Prairie)

Marquette Sectional
Teams: Marquette, Whitefish Bay
Individuals: Nikolai Grabowski (Franklin), Logan Eggert (Milwaukee King), Josh Greenberg (Nicolet), Randy Grzybowski (Nicolet), Nic Scharping (Milwaukee King)

Oregon Sectional
Teams: Madison LaFollette, Janesville Craig
Individuals: Matthew Wolf (Verona), Joe Zack (Oconomowoc), Noah Brown (Oconomowoc), Terry McMillan (Monona Grove), Dane Tyler (Janesville Parker)

Oshkosh North Sectional
Teams: Neenah, Fond du Lac
Individuals: McKena Ramos (Sheboygan South), David Fischer (Appleton East), Anthony Gnas (Slinger), Dustin O'Connell (Appleton West), Adian Welsch (Sheboygan North)

Racine Horlick Sectional
Teams: Kenosha Tremper, Kenosha Bradford
Individuals: Will Arnold (Racine Horlick), Ryan Kaestner (Racine Horlick), James Frederickson (Racine Case), Tyler Fiebelkorn (Westosha Central), Seth LaBodda (Oak Creek)

Tomah Sectional
Teams: LaCrosse Logan, Hudson
Individuals: Andrew Faris (Chippewa Falls), Trent Powell (River Falls), Ali Jandal (LaCrosse Central), Christian Phelps (Eau Claire Memorial), James Saxton (LaCrosse Central)

Wausau West Sectional
Teams: Stevens Point, D.C. Everest
Individuals: Cody Artymiuk (Antigo), Evan Walpole (Superior), Alexander Buss (Shawano), Riley Tuma (Shawano), Nate Schoone (Rhinelander)

West Allis Hale Sectional
Teams: Brookfield Central, Waukesha South
Individuals: Brad Johnson (Brookfield East), Jacob Jodat (Waukesha North), Lane Geisness (Waukesha North), Stephen Browne (Brookfield East), Matt Cyra (Mukwonago)

You sir have hit the nail on the head with these predictions..

[mukharrier]

So what are everyones predictions for this weekend for teams and individuals moving on to Rapids??

This is what I think for D1 Boys (in no particular place order)....


Homestead Sectional
Teams: Arrowhead, Wauwatosa East
Individuals: Daniel McKee (Hamilton), Patrick Campbell (Wauwatosa West), Adam Schueller (Germantown), Matthew Snell (Hamilton), Zachary Kusan (Hamilton)

Kimberly Sectional
Teams: Bay Port, Green Bay Preble
Individuals: Brady Selner (Ashwaubenon), Armando Torres (Green Bay East), Ian LaMere (Green Bay Southwest), Austin Gokey (DePere), Alex Rink (Kimberly)

Madison West Sectional
Teams: Madison West, Madison Memorial
Individuals: A.J. Kitchen (Beaver Dam), Gerrit Bruni (Baraboo), John Groat (Madison East), Andrew Gifford (Watertown), Dillon Weber (Sun Prairie)

Marquette Sectional
Teams: Marquette, Whitefish Bay
Individuals: Nikolai Grabowski (Franklin), Logan Eggert (Milwaukee King), Josh Greenberg (Nicolet), Randy Grzybowski (Nicolet), Nic Scharping (Milwaukee King)

Oregon Sectional
Teams: Madison LaFollette, Janesville Craig
Individuals: Matthew Wolf (Verona), Joe Zack (Oconomowoc), Noah Brown (Oconomowoc), Terry McMillan (Monona Grove), Dane Tyler (Janesville Parker)

Oshkosh North Sectional
Teams: Neenah, Fond du Lac
Individuals: McKena Ramos (Sheboygan South), David Fischer (Appleton East), Anthony Gnas (Slinger), Dustin O'Connell (Appleton West), Adian Welsch (Sheboygan North)

Racine Horlick Sectional
Teams: Kenosha Tremper, Kenosha Bradford
Individuals: Will Arnold (Racine Horlick), Ryan Kaestner (Racine Horlick), James Frederickson (Racine Case), Tyler Fiebelkorn (Westosha Central), Seth LaBodda (Oak Creek)

Tomah Sectional
Teams: LaCrosse Logan, Hudson
Individuals: Andrew Faris (Chippewa Falls), Trent Powell (River Falls), Ali Jandal (LaCrosse Central), Christian Phelps (Eau Claire Memorial), James Saxton (LaCrosse Central)

Wausau West Sectional
Teams: Stevens Point, D.C. Everest
Individuals: Cody Artymiuk (Antigo), Evan Walpole (Superior), Alexander Buss (Shawano), Riley Tuma (Shawano), Nate Schoone (Rhinelander)

West Allis Hale Sectional
Teams: Brookfield Central, Waukesha South
Individuals: Brad Johnson (Brookfield East), Jacob Jodat (Waukesha North), Lane Geisness (Waukesha North), Stephen Browne (Brookfield East), Matt Cyra (Mukwonago)


I'll agree w/all Sean on the team except I will sub in Brook East for Waukesha South...

[ijohn599]

Don't count out Sarna from KM as an individual.

[psyched4track2011]

Boscobel Sectional

Teams
Darlington
Albany

Individuals
Ryan Mindham- Boscobel
Wyatt Massey- Pecatonica Argyle
Joseph Forman- Waterloo
Logan Wacker- Boscobel
Kemal Kirchmeier- Lancaster


Edgar Sectional

Teams
Marathon
Auburndale

Individuals
Sam Maki- Owen Withee
Quentin Edelburg- Prentice/ Rib Lake
Kody Guden- Edgar
Elliot Bender- Assumption
Cordell Kapusta- Neilsville


Fall Creek Sectional

Teams
Immanuel Lutheran
Regis

Individuals
Ethan Brandt- Glenwood City
Nathaniel Behnke- Bruce
Nick Zander- McDonnel Central
Michael Larson- Colfax
Andrew Wagner- Glenwood City


Iola-Scandinavia Sectional

Teams
Rosholt
Green Lake

Individuals
Joe Weber- Oshkosh Lourdes
Matt Wubben- Lena/St. Thomas Academy
David Rosenlund- Gillet
Greg Greif- St. Mary Springs
Luke Geffers- Valley Christian


Racine Horlick Sectional

Teams
Kenosha St. Joes
Lake Country Lutheran

Individuals
Andres TineoPaz- The Prairie School
Mike Prue- Shoreland Lutheran
Elias Volk- Brookfield Academy
Gilchrist Carrigan- Eastbrook Academy
Jeremy Lemke- Burlington Catholic Central


Sheboygan Area Lutheran Sectional

Teams
Manitowoc Lutheran
Algoma

Individuals
Alex Holle- Cedar Grove Belgium
Elliot Franczek- Hilbert
Conner Leichtle- St. Marys Springs
Zach Carr- Random Lake
Michael Merrit- Cedar Grove Belgium


Solon Springs/ Northwood Sectional

Teams
Chequamegon
Grantsburg

Individuals
Joey Erickson- Webster
Bryan Ayers- Drummond
Ryan Schick- Drummond
Steven Carlson- Drummond
Eric Alberson- Flambeau


Tomah Sectional

Teams
Blair Taylor
Augusta

Individuals
Lance Baldwin- Brookwood
Jake Smith- New Lisbon
Sasha Maro- Mondovi
Walker Rynes- Brookwood
Dray Schreiber- Cochrane Fountain City
Individuals

[runninsaber]

Also, analyzing my predictions a bit here, a few notes:

- Baring a complete bomb from any of the teams, its pretty obvious who is gonna finish 1 thru 8/9 in the team race. There seems to be a big drop off after that.

- The Marquette Sectional needs some adjusting as its VERY weak this year and probably for a few years to come. I understand King had been good in recent years, but it looks like their reign is over. I also had a hard time picking what individuals would all come out of this sectional. After 2 or 3 guys that should be shoe-ins there are probably 20 other runners that could get the last couple spots, guys that don't even regularly break 17:15.

- I personally think it should go back to the 8 Sectional format as like in most recent years there are a few teams that really don't have any business being at State

[ccdude31]

Good predictions psychedfortrack - I think I'd make two small changes - I think Grantsburg will be ahead of Chequamegon and Augusta will almost certainly be ahead of Blair Taylor, their 3-5 runners are young and pretty weak not to mention that Reismann seems to be struggling right now.

[psyched4track2011]

Good predictions psychedfortrack - I think I'd make two small changes - I think Grantsburg will be ahead of Chequamegon and Augusta will almost certainly be ahead of Blair Taylor, their 3-5 runners are young and pretty weak not to mention that Reismann seems to be struggling right now.
I completely agree with that Grantsburg will be ahead of Chequamegon, idk why I put them behind them, but I put Blair Taylor ahead of Augusta because I was looking towards state more, Reismann put it together there last year, I think he will again giving Blair Taylor a very low scorer while Augusta won't have someone scoring that low.

[ccdude31]

I'm not familiar enough with all the teams in the Tomah Sectional to know where the concentration of runners will be. You are right that even when he is not performing at his best, Reismann is much better than any of Augusta's runners. But their 1-4 will probably leave Blair Taylors 3-5 and possibly even their 2 in the dust. I think it's gonna come down to the gaps. Reismann might beat Augusta's top runner by 30 or 45 seconds or even more and only gain 4 or 5 points while Augusta's 4th could easily gain 10 points on Blair Taylor's 4th with only a 20 or 30 second lead.
There will be an interesting display of this at the Fall Creek Sectional. Lau should win that by at least a minute (there isn't a single other runner there who has ever broken 17) and yet he'll likely only gain 1-4 points for Immanuel over teams like Regis and McDonell whose top runners are vastly inferior to Lau. Cross Country is such a complex sport. Gotta love it!

[ccdude31]

also - you probably haven't seen these results because they never get published very well but August beat Blair Taylor pretty soundly at the Melrose-Mindoro Invite.

[psyched4track2011]

also - you probably haven't seen these results because they never get published very well but August beat Blair Taylor pretty soundly at the Melrose-Mindoro Invite.
No, I hadn't seen those results, at sectionals Augusta will more than likely beat Blair Taylor, at state however, it depends if Reismann shows up, I really believe if he does, Blair Taylor will win this head to head matchup.

[ccdude31]

Yeah at state, Reismann would certainly probably make the difference.